人民币汇率对北省进出口贸易影响.doc

JIANGXI AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY 经济管理学院 双学位毕业论文 题目： 人民币汇率对湖北省进出口贸易影响 所在学院： 国土资源与环境学院 姓 名： 吴怡 学 号： 第一专业： 土地资源管理 第二专业： 金融学 双学位班级： 金融1205 指导教师：滕玉华 职 称：副教授 二0一五 年 一 月 摘要 自改革开放以来，随着我国对外开放程度的不断提高，经济增长对出口的依赖性也日益增强，人民币汇率的变动通过影响贸易品价格对我国进出口贸易收支和结构的影响也更加显著。而近年来，我国因为巨额的对外贸易顺差和外汇储备规模而面临着人民币升值的压力，人民币汇率不断升值对湖北省进出口贸易的影响也逐渐显现出来，分析汇率波动与湖北省进出口贸易的关系具有非常重要的现实意义。本文以汇率变动对贸易影响的相关理论为理论基础，研究1992年至2012年的人民币汇率的相关数据，以及近年来湖北省进出口贸易的相关数据，分析证明人民币汇率变动对湖北省进出口贸易总额以及进出口贸易结构造成的影响，并提出了如何促进湖北省对外贸易健康稳定发展和优化对外贸易结构的对策建议。 【关键词】人民币汇率 湖北省进出口贸易 政策建议 Abstract With the improvement of opening door to the outside world, the dependence on exports is also growing for economic growth since reforming and open, it is more obvioue that the RMB exchange rate movements affect the Import and export trade balance and structure through the influence of the price of tradable goods. In recent years,our nation is facing with the huge pressure of RMB appreciation because of the signficant foreign trade surplus RMB appreciation and foreign exchange reserve.The increase of appreciation of the RMB exchange rate that impact on import and export trade of Hubei province has gradually emerged, and it has very important significance that analysis the relationship between exchange rate volatility and import and export trade of Hubei province. This paper base on the related theory of the trade effect of exchange rate changes, studying the related data of the RMB exchange rate from 1992 to 2012 and the relevant data of Hubei province in recent years, analysising the RMB exchange rate changes impact on import and export trade of Hubei Province, finally it will put forward the constructive proposal about how to promote the stable development of foreign trade in Hubei province and the optimization of foreign trade structure. 【Key words】 the RMB exchange