可再生能源电力输送和并网以及系统运行.pdfVIP

Transmission and Integration of Renewable Energy and System Operations 可再生能源电力输送和并网以及系统运行 May 2010 2010年5月 Beijing, China 中国北京 Jon Wellinghoff，Chairman 乔恩·威灵霍夫 主席 Federal Energy Regulatory 美国联邦能源监管委员会 Commission Transmission 输电 • Integrating new generation is not only • 并网问题不仅仅是风电面临的问题， an issue for wind resources. Large 大规模煤电和核电也同样存在并网 coal and nuclear generation have 成本问题 integration costs, too • 现阶段明显需要积极主动的大规模 • Proactive transmission planning on 输电规划 large-scale clearly necessary – The wind resource is distant from load – 中国和美国的风能资源都远离负荷 in China and U.S. 中心 – 1/3 of wind capacity installed in China – 报告显示，中国三分之一的风电装 is reportedly not grid-connected, but 机容量没有并网发电，但这只是暂 this is temporary condition 时的情况 – 10+ GW/yr additions require planning – 每年超过千万千瓦的新增风电装机 • Transmission expansion may support 需要输电规划 other generation, but dispatch and • 输电网扩展可以支持不同类型的发 curtailment policies are needed to deliver emissions reductions 电，但是需要制定合理的调度和限 • The US has much to learn from China 发政策，以减少排放 about how to plan and build • 中国在规划和建设风电输电网络方 transmission for wind 面有很多经验值得美国借鉴 Wind Forecasting Critical 风功率预测很重要 • Consider establishing a central wind • 考虑建立一个覆盖全国（至少覆盖多 forecasting system that would cover 个省份）的中央风功率预测系统 the entire country (or, at least multiple provinces) • 需要多个不同时间层次的风功率预测 • Will need multiple time levels of wind （如每小时、提前一天、提前一周和 forecasts (e.g., hourly, day-ahead, 提前一个月） week-ahead and month-ahead) • Will likely need ramp forecasts