秦皇岛沿海灾害性天气对自然环境的影响和预报-中国环境管理干部.PDFVIP

20 2 Vol.20No.2 2010 4 JOURNAL OF EMCC Apr.2010 10.3969/ j. issn. 1008-813 .2010.02.004 秦皇岛沿海灾害性天气对自然环境的影响和预报 1,2 2 2 2 陈连友 , 居丽玲 , 曹建新 , 曹秀芝 ( 1. 河北省生态环境重点实验室, 河北石家庄050021;2.秦皇岛市气象局, 河北秦皇岛066000) :风暴潮天气是一种灾害 的自然现象一般情况下, 大于500 km 的东到东北大风持 续12 个小时, 且风速大于或等于6 级, 将在秦皇岛沿海形成风暴潮天气通过分析引发风暴 潮天气的动力条件, 风暴潮与台风温带气旋等天气系统相关联系, 再根据天文潮汐变化台 风温带气旋24 h 诊断预报,判断台风温带气旋移动径, 从而达到准确预报风暴潮天气之目 的分析表明: 成灾风暴潮多发生在朔日和望日及其后的5 天 :风暴潮; 台风;诊断预报; 技术指标; 自然环境 : 16 : A : 1008-813( 2010)02-0011-04 The Forecast and Impact of Qinhuangdao Coast Severe Weather on Natural Environment 1, 2 2 2 2 Chen Lianyou , Ju Liling , Cao Jianxin , Cao iuzhi ( 1. Ecolog ical Environment K ey Laboratory of H ebei Province, Shij iazhuang Hebei 050021; 2.Meteorological Bureau of inhuangdao, inhuangdaoH ebei 066000) Abstract: T he storm surgeweather is a kind of disaster of natural phenomena. Under normal circumstances, more than 500 kilometers east to northeast winds for 12 hours, and the wind speed is greater than or equal to 6, will be the formation of storm surge along the coast in Qinhuangdao. By analyzing the dynamic weather conditions causing storm surges, weather systems relevant to storm surges and typhoons and extratropical cyclones, then according to astronomy, tides, typhoons, extratropical cyclone 24h diagnostic prediction, it judged ty- phoons, extratropical cyclone tracks, so as to achieve thepurpose of predicting storm surges accurately. Ke words: storm surge; typhoon; diagnosticforecast;technical indexes; Natural environment 56: 15 15 4 5 10 ,20 , 90 18 , , 19