Peak Oil and China haze - CUP（石油峰值和中国阴霾杯）.pdf

Peak Oil and China haze a a a a a Yingchao Chen , Lianyong Feng , Jianliang Wang , Ke Wang , Xiaowen Ao , Pei a a b He , Jingxuan Feng , Willam X. Wei aSchool of Business Administration, China University of Petroleum, Beijing 102249, China b Grant MacEwan University, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada Abstract: The outbreaks of haze in most cities of China is mainly due to the excessive consumption of coal and oil, while the changing of coal and oil recent years have driven partly by the approaching peak of China conventional crude oil. We used a generalized Weng model to predict the peak of China conventional crude oil and summarized some literature related, we found the production of China conventional crude oil has been in the peak period and the peak oil of China is approaching. The implicit impacts of peak oil on China haze mainly include two parts: (1) the domestic oil supply is shortage and China’s oil import is limited in part, this has stimulated the rapid growth of coal consumption to some extent; (2) China ’s oil import grows swift but poor quality oil accounts for a large proportion, meanwhile, China has produced more poor quality crude oil, that is to say, China has consumed much more poor quality oil. China haze is just one of the impacts of peak conventional oil, the economic growth, net energy for society and carbon emission maybe worse and worse in the near future. Keywords: China; Peak oil; Haze; Weng model. 1. Introduction Serious haze has appeared in China since the beginning of 2013, which almost normalization