.基于非线性状态估计技术的设备故障预警方法.pdfVIP

Computer Science and Application 计算机科学与应用, 2011, 1, 103-107 doi:10.4236/csa.2011.13021 Published Online December 2011 (/journal/csa) Equipment Failure Prognostic Method Based on Nonlinear State Estimate Technique 1 2* 2 Shuping Chang , Wen Zhu , Yukun Lv 1Thermal Dynamic Technology Institute, Hebei Electric Power Research Institute, Shijiazhuang 2Department of Automation, North China Electric Power University, NCEPU, Baoding Email: {hbdyycsp, zhuwen654299114}@163.com; luyukunf@126.com Received: Sep. 6th, 2011; revised: Oct. 3rd, 2011; accepted: Oct. 24th, 2011. Abstract: In the power plant per year’s operation cost, the equipment maintains cost accounts for a great pro- portion. The equipment failure could cause enormous loss. If we could find out the signs of prognostic as ear- ly as possible, we can take effective measures to avoid the negative consequences. Alter the forced maintains into active ones, changing non-plan halt to planned halt. In this way, we can reduce the times of equipment failure to the least, prolong maintains intervals, decrease the time for maintains. So the expanse of maintains can be reduced, the property of equipment can be improved, and the cost of fuels also can be saved. Further more, the accountability and availability of the generators and the income of electricity sales can be raised up, which contributes to the less fines. Keywords: Nonlinear State Estimate Technique; Prognostic; Failure 基于非线性状态估计技术的设备故障预警方法 1 2* 2 常澍平 ，朱 雯 ，吕玉坤 1 河北电力研究院，石家庄 2 华北电力大学，保定