complete asymptotic analysis of a two-nation arms race model with piecewise constant nonlinearities完成康科迪亚军备竞赛模型的渐近分析和分段常数非线性.pdfVIP

Hindawi Publishing Corporation Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society Volume 2012, Article ID 745697, 17 pages doi:10.1155/2012/745697 Research Article Complete Asymptotic Analysis of a Two-Nation Arms Race Model with Piecewise Constant Nonlinearities Chengmin Hou1 and Sui Sun Cheng2 1 Department of Mathematics, Yanbian University, Yanji 133002, China 2 Department of Mathematics, Tsing Hua University, Hsinchu 30043, Taiwan Correspondence should be addressed to Sui Sun Cheng, sscheng@.tw Received 30 August 2011; Accepted 25 October 2011 Academic Editor: Guang Zhang Copyright q 2012 C. Hou and S. S. Cheng. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. A discrete time two-nation arms race model involving a piecewise constant nonlinear control function is formulated and studied. By elementary but novel arguments, we are able to give a complete analysis of its asymptotic behavior when the threshold parameter in the control function varies from 0 to ∞. We show that all solutions originated from positive initial values tend to limit one or two cycles. An implication is that when devastating weapons are involved, “terror equilibrium” can be achieved and escalated race avoided. It is hoped that our analysis will provide motivation for further studying of discrete-time equations with piecewise smooth nonlinearities. 1. Introduction In 1, pages 87–90, a simple dynamical model of a two-nation arms race based on Richardson’s ideas in 2 is explained, and several interesting conclusions are drawn which can be used to explain stable and escalated arms ra