中国发展指数(RCDI 2007)编制成果及分析1.pdf

1 中国发展指数(RCDI 2007)编制成果及分析 中国调查评价中心 中文摘要 本文编制了“中国人民大学中国发展指数”（2007），并对我国 2006 年 31 个省级行政区的中国发展指数进行了测算和排序；在此基础上，本文还对我国省 级行政区发展的均衡性进行了探索，对各个省级行政区中国发展指数的增长速度 进行了比较。本文的研究结果，对于科学评价我国社会经济的发展水平及其地区 差异，制定地区发展的宏观政策，具有一定的借鉴意义。 关键词： 中国人民大学；中国发展指数；科学发展观；统计综合评价 Abstract With regard to the dominating concepts of scientific development and harmonious society, scientific judgment toward and precise evaluation of the current course of development became virtually significant in our society. In the interest of realization of comprehensive, harmonious and sustainable development, an urging and momentous mission of our time is expected to be resolved: establishment of a set of scientific measuring index system and statistic index, as well as measurement and evaluation of China’s geographic disparity in economic development. Hence, in this article, the authors commit to setting up measuring index system of China’s development index. Taking advantage of the modified model of Exponential Effective Function, the authors try to create China’s Development Index, CDI of Renmin University 2006, and on this basis, measures and rank China’s Development Index of all 31 provincial administrative regions throughout China in 2004 and 2005 respectively. Furthermore, this article conducts Cluster Analysis of China’s provincial administrative regions and successfully discovers the regional structural characteristics in China’s economic development. This research result will, to a certain degree, contribute to the scientific evaluation of China’s economic growth and regional differences, as well as to the macro-policy making for regional develop