why was the 2009 influenza pandemic in england so small为什么2009年流感大流行在英国那么小呢.pdfVIP

Why Was the 2009 Influenza Pandemic in England So Small? Ruben J. Kubiak*, Angela R. McLean Institute for Emerging Infections, Oxford Martin School, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom Abstract The ‘‘Swine flu’’ pandemic of 2009 caused world-wide infections and deaths. Early efforts to understand its rate of spread were used to predict the probable future number of cases, but by the end of 2009 it was clear that these predictions had substantially overestimated the pandemic’s eventual impact. In England,