滑坡次生灾害损失评估方法研究.pdfVIP

第28 卷第5 期 岩 土 力 学 Vol.28 No.5 2007 年5 月 Rock and Soil Mechanics May 2007 文章编号 1000 7598 (2007) 05 0961 05 滑坡次生灾害损失评估方法研究 1 1 2 谢全敏 李道明 翟鹏程 1.武汉理工大学 土木工程与建筑学院 武汉 430070 2.武汉理工大学 理学院 武汉 430070 摘 要 针对目前滑坡灾害破坏损失评估研究还没有涉及滑坡次生灾害破坏损失评估方面的研究 提出并建立了滑坡次生灾 害破坏损失的评估模型与方法 应用故障树分析法 FTA 和事件树分析法 ETA 相结合的因果图方法对滑坡次生灾害作 可靠性分析 由此对滑坡次生灾害损失进行了预测及评估 关 键 词 滑坡 次生灾害 损失评估 故障树分析法 事件树分析法 中图分类号 TU 443 文献标识码 A Study on loss evaluation method of landslide secondary hazards 1 1 2 XIE Quan-min , LI Dao-ming , ZHAI Peng-cheng (1. School of Civil Engineering Architecture, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China; 2. School of Science, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China) Abstract: Landslide hazard is a serious natural hazard next only to earthquake and floodwater. It has brought about great losses to the economic and social development worldwide. Each year it causes a loss up to billions of dollars in the whole world. A striking amount of money has been spent on the prevention and redress of the hazard and much more losses have been incurred indirectly in addition. In China, mountains where landslide hazards happen frequently and densely cover 70 % of the area. China is among those countries stricken most by these hazards. These hazards give rise to loss with a total value of hundreds of millions Yuan and great damages to the country and people’s lives and properties. Since till now the damage and loss evaluation of secondary hazards has n