【】建立数学模型预测柑桔大实蝇.docVIP

运用数学模型预测柑桔大实蝇成虫发生期研究 冉 峰 袁文斌 张亚东 谭监润 重庆云阳县植保植检站（404500） 摘要：柑桔大实蝇是柑桔上危害十分严重的钻蛀性害虫，国内报导防治的措施很多，但防治适期不清楚。文章通过试验1以不同给药时间的防效说明了预测防治适期的重要性；试验2从监测柑橘大实蝇成虫的发生情况，探讨了温湿度对发生期的影响，建立温度与蛹的发育天数的数学模型计算有效积温常数是预测羽化出土期的重要参数。结果显示：建立数学模型预测拟定防治适期能科学有效防治柑桔大实蝇的危害；防治适期应在成虫产卵之前。 关键词：监测发生期； 建立数学模型； 拟定防治适期。 Build up mathematics model estimate Bactrocera（Tetradacus）minax （Enderlein）Go to heaven as a fairy to sprout a period Draft to prevent and cure a proper period a beginning eportan- Feng Yuan wen Bin Zhang Ya Dong, Tan Jian Run (Plant to protect to plant a check station of Yun Yang county,Yun Yang,Chong QING 404500) Abstract: Bactrocera minax very seriously drills Zhu pest on harm of Citrus reticulata Blanco, the measure of the local report prevention and cure is a lot of, but prevents and cures proper period not clear.The article experiments 1 with dissimilarity to medicine defending of time effect elucidation the importance of the estimate prevention and cure proper period;Experiment 2 from the monitor Bactrocera minax become the occurrence circumstance of insect, inquire into degree of humidity to occurrence expect of influence, build up the mathematics model of growth number of temperature and chrysalis to compute to effectively accumulate constant is estimate go to heaven as a fairy the important parameter of sprouting the period.Show as a result:Build up athematics model to predict the draw-up prevention and cure is proper to wis ?science to effectively prevent and cure harm of Bactrocera minax;Prevent and cure a proper period should at become before insect produce egg. Keyword:Monitor occurrence to expect;Build up mathematics model;Draft to prevent and cure a proper period. ——————————————————————————————————————— 基金项目：重庆市非疫区建设项目部分成果 试验1.1两种不同给药时间防效试验 ①试验材料与处理安排：果瑞特Ⅰ号由重庆市农技总站检疫科提供，湖北谷瑞特生物技术有限公司生产； 90％晶体敌百虫、散装红糖、散装醋、散装白酒从市场购买；诱杀罐用330ML矿泉水瓶自制；手持喷雾器喷头由湖北谷瑞特生物技术有限公司提供，瓶身由鲜橙多瓶代替；频振式杀虫灯由河南佳多公司生产。试验地点在耀灵乡鸣凤村柚园、凤鸣镇锦屏村柑橘园。共设4个处理1个对照，不设重复，每个处理小区667㎡，小区间设50m隔离行。试验区悬挂频振式杀虫灯1盏，以减少吸果夜蛾、桃蛀暝等害虫危