地表沉陷预测评价模式的灵敏度分析-水土保持通报.PDFVIP

27 1 Vol. 27, No. 1 2007 2 Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation Feb. , 2007 王 铮, 苗立永, 赵蕾, 李玮娜 ( , 710054) : , , , , , : ; ; ; : B : 1000 ) 288X( 2007) 01) 0105) 0 : TD 27 Sensitive Analysis of Assessment Model f or Surf ace Subsidence Predi ction WANG Zheng, M IAO Li-yong, ZHAO Lei, LI We-i na ( D ep ar tment of Geology and E nv ironment E ng ineer ing , X i. an Univ er sity of Science and Tech nology , X i. an 710054, Shaanx i P r ov ince, Ch ina) Abstract: Aiming at the surface subsidence prediction assessment in the mining areas, this paper took the sec- ondary rigidity and gentle coal layer for an example, and analyzed the stability of probability function model. The result indicates that the model has a good stability, and satisfies the precision demands for prediction assessment. T hus, w e can use it in surface subsidence prediction of the secondary rigidity and gentle coal layer. Among the coal stratum angel, thickness, depth and the synthetic evaluation factor, the sensitivity of the synthetic evaluation fac- tor is the greatest, and the factor is the main control parameter. Keywords: coal mining; surface subsidence prediction; probability function model; sensitive analysis , , , 1 模式的建立 , , , , ]