我国中西部老工业基地产业衰退地域评价方法和特征研究.docx

我国中西部老工业基地产业衰退地域评价方法和特征研究姜四清（东北师范大学 城市与环境学院 长春 10024）EVALUATION OF THE SPATIAL CHARACTERISTICS OF INDUSTRIALRECESSION AREAS IN THE MIDDLE AND WEST CHINAJIANG Si-qing(College of Urban and Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 10024, China)Abstract: In contemporary China, how to reveal characteristics of industrial recession areas spatial distribu-tion and rearrangement is a hot issue in the context of rapid urbanization. Since 1980s, Chinese cities have ex- perienced dramatic transformation of its industry development system from planned-economy toward the market-economy. Recent literatures concentrate on spatial features of industrial recession areas in transitional Chinese cities and the differences with the counterparts in advanced market economies. Nonetheless, re- searches on this issue are restricted by the lack of systematic data - especially spatial data, and by the limita- tion of the traditional statistical model in establishing the complex causal relationship in building the evalua- tion index system of industrial recession areas. Based on about 66 industrial recession cities data during the past decades and GIS integrated data, this paper explores the general evaluation and actual description of the features of the industrial recession areas in China through neural network and GIS spatial analysis models. The author chooses the environmental, industrial, social and economic development quality as the core indi- cators in the evaluation index system in measuring the industrial recession levels. The author finds that: 1) Chinas old industrial-based cities have an obvious division spatial feature in the process of industrial declina- tion worldwide. Geographically speaking, these industrial recession areas are mainly located in the middle and west China. 2) By using neural network model to analyze different cities recession characteristics and their mechanisms, the author finds that these industrial recession cities can b