水厂日供水量预测子系统论文.docVIP

摘 要 本文的重要意义在于提供水厂的日供水量预测以及时段供水量预测的分析方法和科学依据,并开发相应的日供水量预测支持系统软件，用于实际应用。 结合南方某市自来水供水系统，通过分析该厂近几年的日供水资料，开发了水厂日供水量的供水预测决策支持系统与供水调度系统，建立了常规日供水预测，双休日供水预测，和特殊长假日的供水预测三个预测模块，以及供水信息数据库与供水调度模型方法库，并通过两者的有机结合实现了基于数据库管理信息系统上的水厂供水量的自动分析与预测。利用该系统不仅能够对供水信息数据库中存贮的大量历史数据进行统计和分析，还能够进行水量预测、管网建模和运行优化调度。经考核，该软件达到可推广应用程度。 关键词：日供水量预测 信息数据库 功能模块 供水预测决策支持系统 供水调度系统 Abstract This article’s main effect is that offer the deision method and science basis about the daily municipal water supply and it’s in period of time. And design the municipal water supply system to be used in the produce. Based on the water supply system of a city in South China,and according to analyzing the date of daily water supply in several years lately，the daily municipal water supply Decision Support System(DDS) and dispatching systems were developed,and three daily water decision moudle：jeneral daily warter suply deision，double rest day water suply deision，holiday day water suply deision，and water supply information database and water dispatching model-method base were set up.In combination of the both bases,the optimization dispatch of municipal water supply system was brought into effect on the basis of database information management system.Utilization of the system can not only make statistic and analysis for a lot of historical data stored in water supply information database,but also carry out water demand projection,setting of network model,and operation of optimization dispatch.It is examined that the software can be popularized for use. Keywords:daily municipal water supply Decision ;function module；information database;the daily municipal water supply Decision Support System(DDS); municipal water supply dispatch system. 目 录 第一章 供水预测决策的意义 1 1.1人类面临水资源危机的严重威胁 1 1.2本文的工作 3 第二章供水预测决策支持系统的需求分析 5 2.1. 引言 5 2.1.1 编写目的 5 2.1.2 定义 5 2.2. 功能需求 8 2.3. 性能需求 8 2.4. 界面需求 9 第三章 供水预测决策支持系统的系统分析与设计 11 3.1供水预测支持系统的系统分析方法 11 3.2系统分析 11 3.2.1供水量分析预测 11 3.2.2取水调度 13 3.3系统设计 15 第四章 供水预测决策支持系统的实现 18 4.1系统开发环境 18 4.2