微软 陷阱和常见的错误MCP Pitfalls.ppt

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微软 陷阱和常见的错误MCP Pitfalls

* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * CONCLUSIONS if approached with diligence and care, MCP can be a vital tool it requires attention to detail at every stage of the site assessment process, not just in MCP model building (tiny part overall!) you need to understand how to obtain: high quality (target) site data high quality, appropriately chosen, reference site data you need to understand the application and limitations of MCP software you need the skills, knowledge experience to use it interpret results experiments suggest that MCP success is far more to do with choice of high quality reference site than it is to MCP algorithm! * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 2. REFERENCE SITE DATA: PITFALLS COMMON PROBLEMS – BACKGROUND the fundamental principle of MCP is that site climatology, over a 20 – 25 life, is stationary, i.e. statistics consistent over time reference site data must be consistent with this requirement – essential! * 2. REFERENCE SITE DATA: PITFALLS COMMON PROBLEMS – BACKGROUND the fundamental principle of MCP is that site climatology, over a 20 – 25 life, is stationary, i.e. statistics consistent over time reference site data must be consistent with this requirement – essential! * 2. REFERENCE SITE DATA: PITFALLS COMMON PROBLEMS – BACKGROUND the fundamental principle of MCP is that site climatology, over a 20 – 25 life, is stationary, i.e. statistics consistent over time reference site data must be consistent with this requirement – essential! * 2. REFERENCE SITE DATA: PITFALLS COMMON PROBLEMS – FIXED MASTS Failure to: examine site photos/visit site inspect site records choose site which reflects ‘regional’ winds choose site with similar climatology to target site choose site with good long-term mean choose site with long enough concurrent period available? choose site with long enough historic period available? Last requirement can create problems… * 2. REFERENCE SITE DATA: PITFALLS COMMON PROBLEMS – F

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