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第五讲地质环境系统演化的一般原理 提 纲 一、系统演化的基本概念 二、地质环境系统演化的外部条件 三、地质环境系统演化的内在机理 四、地质环境系统演化的几个阶段 A systematic evolution‘s example of landslide in the Three-Gorges Reservoir Systematic evolution analysis In general, following questions should be considered: Which signals can be used to analyze landslide’s evolution? Which stage is the landslide? Which model the landslide failure will be? How strong the impact will be ? Where will be affected ? Which elements (population, economics, etc.) will be at risk ? How to act? How to act now? Concrete Measures 1. Establishing a disaster relief headquarter. 2. Warning to the elements at risk (people, ships, etc.). 3. Emergency rescue preparation. Efficiency test of tele-communication network along the valley where may be affected by landslide waves. 5. Enhancement of landslide monitoring. 6. Close the channel transportation if necessary. Geology Length: 600 m Width: 700 m Maximum Depth: 30 m Volume : 1260×104 m3 Average slope : 30° Rocks: Jurassic claystone and sandstone 系统演化实例分析 Geological profile 系统演化实例分析 Acquired by monitoring network: GPS Inclinometer crackmeters piezometers Movement —— a signal of systematic variation 系统演化实例分析 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Acceleration periods Accumulative movement Precipitation Variation of pool level 1th drop down of pool level Systematic response signal Natural input signal Artificial input signal 系统演化实例分析 系统演化实例分析 Which signals can be used to analyze landslide’s evolution? Accumulative movement Rainfall Pool level Surface deformations 2. Which stage is the landslide? 系统演化实例分析 Accumulative movement Response movement of input Trend movement of evolution Three stages of landslide evolution 系统演化实例分析 3. Which model the landslide failure will be? 4. How strong the impact will be ? ——Two lessons learnt from secondary landslide consequences in this reservoir ① Xintang landslide in June 12, 1985 before the event
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