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Competition_and_Regulation_in_India’s_natural_gas_sector-SK_Sarkar
Competition and Regulation in India’s natural gas sector Presented at International Conference on Reviewing the Global Experience with Economic Regulations, organized by CUTS By S K Sarkar April 18-20, 2011 Presentation outline Sector overview/trends Policy initiatives and impact Competitive assessment framework Recommendations/conclusions Overview of natural gas sector India’s rapid economic growth requires high growth of commercial energy supply Natural gas constitutes 8% of commercial energy consumption against world average of 24 % Natural gas sector used to be provisioned by natural monopolies, with attendant problems Following pragmatic and non ideological compulsions, competition was slowly introduced in the sector and belatedly, independent regulation brought into existence in 2007 Sector trends[1] Projected gas demands by 2030 vary: 119 bcm to 405 bcm 2009-10, production at 47.57 bcm, of which private sector about 50% 2011-12 Gas imports (LNG) expected at 52.5 mscmd Sector trends [2] 2009-10 gas consumption at 169 mscmd likely to grow to 399.79 mscmd by 2013-14; power (46%) and fertiliser( 23%) major consumers, CGD about 6% Gas consumption dependent on availability of pipelines/gas network. Density of pipelines about 3 km/1000 sq km( 50 in USA); gas consumption at CGD networks to grow by 20 % GAIL dominant player in pipeline business (67%); early entrants such as IGL account for about 75 % of CGD volumes No single agency to provide full infrastructure data Levelised pipeline tariff over all tariff zones Share of ONGC/OIL in gas produce decreased from 80 % during 2008-09 to about 60 % since 2009-10:RIL largest oilgas acreage holder among private companies Sector trends[3[ Proven gas reserves at 1120 bcm (2009) Shale gas at nascent stage of development due to various impediments such as technological challenges, lack of policies for shale gas exploitation Prognostic CBM resources estimated at about 4.6 tcm Fiscal scheme does not permit swapping of do
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