高等教育毕业生人数对gdp的影碧响分析.docxVIP

PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT 23 高等教育毕业生人数对GDP的影响分析 作者姓名：肖彬 学号：200908010508指导教师：高辉 摘要 随着我国市场经济的持续发展，国内经济连续几十年持续增长。自改革开放的三十年来，我国经济取得了突飞猛进的进步，对于衡量一国经济增长的最重要的指标—国内生产总值即GDP，我们在宏观经济学里知道构成一国的国内生产总值无外乎就是消费、投资、政府购买和净出口。然而这些指标只是一个大的指标方向，影响一国的国内生产总值除了以上的主要指标外，高等教育毕业生人数是否也有一定的影响呢？我们知道如今社会就业压力十分巨大，随着高校的不断扩招，高中升高校的入学率也加快了它的步伐，这就意味着有更多的高校毕业生涌入就业的竞争当中。本文运用计量经济实证分析，对这些变量做出适当经济模型来分析出这一影响的内在规律，同时也为政府做出宏观经济政策作为一点参考，保障宏观经济良好运行。 关键词：高校毕业生人数 宏观经济政策 高等教育 GDP 计量经济模型 Higher education graduates to analysis the influences of GDP Abstracte: With the continuous development of the market economy in our country, the domestic economic growth for decades. Since the reform and open policy the 30 years, Chinas economy has made a rapid progress. To measure a countrys economic growth is the most important index-GDP that GDP, we in the macroeconomics know up a nations gross domestic product is capable of consumption, investment, government purchase and net exports. However, the index is just a big index direction, the influence of one country gross domestic product besides above the main indexes of outside, higher education graduates are also have certain effect? We know now social employment pressure is so great, with the enrollment expansion, the high school of college enrollment rate rise has also accelerated the pace of it, which means that more of the employment of college graduates influx of the competition. In this paper, the measuring economic empirical analysis, and these variables to make a proper economic model to analysis the influence of the internal rules, but also for the government to make macroeconomic policies as a point of reference, the security macro economic good operation. Keywords : Number of college graduates Macroeconomic policy Higher education GDP Econometric model 目录 TOC \o 1-3 \h \z \u HYPERLINK \l _Toc311046990 第1章前言 PAGEREF _Toc311046990 \h 4 HYPERLINK \l _Toc311046991 第2章 相关文献综述 PAGEREF _Toc311046991 \h 5 HYPERLINK \l _Toc311046992 2.1 国内文献综述 PAGEREF _Toc311