极端天气条件下的配电网韧性分析方法及提升措施-中国电机工程学报.PDF

第 38 卷 第 2 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.38 No.2 Jan. 20, 2018 2018 年 1 月 20 日 Proceedings of the CSEE ©2018 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 505 DOI ：10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.162547 文章编号：0258-8013 (2018) 02-0505-09 中图分类号：TM 73 极端天气条件下的配电网韧性分析方法 及提升措施研究 周晓敏，葛少云，李腾，刘洪 (智能电网教育部重点实验室(天津大学) ，天津市 南开区 300072) Assessing and Boosting Resilience of Distribution System Under Extreme Weather ZHOU Xiaomin, GE Shaoyun, LI Teng, LIU Hong (Key Laboratory of Smart Grid of Ministry of Education (Tianjin University), Nankai District, Tianjin 300072, China) ABSTRACT: Distribution system blackouts with tremendous 之间关系的数学模型，利用系统信息熵筛选故障场景，确定 economic losses may occur under extreme weather. And 灾害可能导致的故障规模；其次，结合系统缺供负荷量，构 resilience describes the ability of distribution network 建韧性评估方法；再次，比较传统加固元件与接入分布式电 withstanding nature disasters, decreasing the loss of faults, and 源两种措施对韧性的提升效果，并采用核密度估计方法计算 restoring normal power supply as fast as possible. To improve 韧性概率分布，全面反映分布式电源对韧性的提升程度；最 the resilience evaluation and analysis method, the influence of 后，通过实际算例，验证提出方法的有效性和准确性。 extreme weather on distributed network components was 关键词：配电网韧性；分布式电源；极端天气；系统信息熵； quantified and failure model of overhead lines was established 非参数核密度估计 to describe the numerical relation of the speed of hurricane and 0 引言 failure probability. Failure scenarios were selected based on Shannon entropy and the possible blackout level was 随着全球气候变化，极端天气灾害发生日益频 confirmed. Secondly, resilience evaluation method was 繁，所造成的大规模停电事故频发，由此带来巨大 proposed considering load loss in different scenarios. Thirdly, 的经济损失和政治社会影响[1-2] 。作为直接服务于用 contribut