校级精品课程汇报-武汉大学.PPTVIP

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校级精品课程汇报-武汉大学.PPT

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校级精品课程汇报-武汉大学

Introduction to Logistic Regression 宇传华（yuchua@163.com ）武汉大学公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学系 2011,5,31 LPM 　　　　　　线性概率模型Odds Ratio　　　优势比Nominal Variables 名义变量Dummy Variable 哑变量Multiple Logistic Regression 多重Logistic回归 1. Review the Type of Variables 2. Variables In Logistic Regression3. Why cannot we use a Linear Regression for Categorical Response?4. Logistic Regression Model 5. What Is an Odds Ratio?6. Multiple Logistic Regression 1. Review the Type of Variables Choosing the Scale of Measurement Before analyzing, select the measurement scale for each variable. Nominal Variables Ordinal Variables Binomial Variables 2. Variables In Logistic Regression Types of Logistic Regression What Does Logistic Regression Do? to predict the probability of specific outcomes. Independent variables of Logistic Regression 3. Why cannot we use a Linear Regression for Categorical Response? Example: Failing or Passing an Exam Let us define a variable ‘Outcome’ Outcome = 0 if the individual fails the exam = 1 if the individual passes the exam Predictor variable：the quantity of hours we use to study Linear Probability Model’ (LPM) ： Prob (Outcome=1) = α + β*Quantity of hours of study Linear Probability Models (LPM) 4. Logistic Regression Model Logistic Regression Curve Logit Transformation Logistic regression models transform probabilities called logits. where i indexes all cases (observations). is the probability the event (a sale, for example) occurs in the ith case. ln is the natural log (to the base e). Assumption Logistic Regression Model logit ( ) = b0 + b1X1 where logit( ) logit transformation of the probability of the event b0 intercept of the regression line b1 slope of the regression line. LOGISTIC Procedure SPSS Output result LPM and Logistic Regression Models Comparing LPM and the Logistic Curve 5. What Is an Odds Ratio? An odds ratio indicates how much more likely, with respect to odds, a certain event occurs in one group relative to