基于系统工程理论的建筑火灾风险评价方法的探讨.PDF

Proceedings of the 10th Conference on Man-Machine-Environment System Engineering Discussion on Fire Risk Assessment Methods for a Building Based on System Engineering Theory* Yumin Tian Department of Fire Engineering, the Armed Police Force Academy, Langfang, China Email: tymsweet@163.com Abstract: Based on the related research to the basic steps and methods of fire risk assessment, a kind of scientific fire risk identification was carried out to a building. A fire risk assessment index system was established according to the system safety engineering theories and methods. Every mark of an index was given according to the codes and standards of fire protection aiming at giving some guides to fire risk evaluation method and rate-making of fire insurance. All the researches will provide important technical supports to make fire risk evaluation codes for property insurance in China. Keywords: system safety engineering; building fire; fire risk assessment; index system 基于系统工程理论的建筑火灾风险 评价方法的探讨 田玉敏 中国人民武装警察部队学院，消防工程系，廊坊，中国，065000 Email: tymsweet@163.com 摘 要: 在对火灾风险评价的基本步骤、方法进行研究的基础上，根据安全系统工程学的思想，对建 筑火灾风险因素进行了科学的辩识，并在此基础上建立了建筑的火灾风险评价体系。根据有关标准和 规范，对各评价指标因子进行等级划分，为科学评价建筑物的火灾风险提供帮助，为火灾保险费率的 厘定提供依据。该课题的研究将为制定财产保险火灾风险评价标准提供技术支持。 关键词: 安全系统工程；建筑火灾；风险评价；指标体系 1 引言 的效益也是不确定的，通过火灾风险分析，可以对火 灾的损失期望值进行估计，从而对消防措施进行成本 近些年来，随着我国经济的飞速发展，建筑也以 与效益的综合评价，这对制定经济