天然气管网可靠性评价方法研究现状-油气储运.pdf

2015 年 4 月　第 34 卷 第 4 期 前瞻与综述 1000-8241 2015 04-0343-06 文章编号： （ ） 天然气管网可靠性评价方法研究现状 范慕炜　宫敬　伍阳　邓涛 中国石油大学（北京）机械与储运工程学院，北京 102249 摘要：随着我国管道事业的蓬勃发展，以及清洁能源的不断推广，天然气的需求量及供气要求进一 步提高，天然气管网的可靠性显得尤为重要。分析了现有管道完整性管理与管道可靠性的关系，总 结了部分国家天然气管网可靠性评价的发展概况，对比了部分具有明确代表性的天然气长输管道可 靠性设计方法及标准规范，评述了我国天然气管网可靠性评价的发展历程。结合当前主流天然气管 网可靠性评价方法与原理，初步探讨了当前可用的天然气管网可靠性评价方法的可行性与难点，为 深入开展天然气管网可靠性评价方法的理论研究和实践应用提供了参考。（参13 ） 关键词：天然气管网；可靠性；评价方法；预测方法 中图分类号：TE88 　　　　 文献标识码：A　 　　　doi ：10.6047/j .issn.1000-824 1.2015.04.001 Research status of reliability evaluation of gas pipeline network FAN Muwei, GONG Jing, WU Yang, DENG Tao College of Machinery and Transportation Engineering, China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing, 102249 Abstract: Along with the thriving development of pipeline industry and the enlarging application of clean energy, the demand for natural gas and requirement for gas supply are on the rise. The reliability of gas pipeline network is of great importance. This paper analyzes the relation between the pipeline integrity management and the pipeline reliability, gives a brief introduction to the development of reliability evaluation on gas pipeline network in some countries, compares some typical reliability design approaches and standards for long-distance gas pipelines, and illustrates the history of reliability evaluation of pipeline network in China. Combined with major approaches and principles for reliability evaluation on gas pipeline network, this paper preliminarily discusses the feasibility and difficulties of available approaches of reliability evaluation on pipeline network, providing reference for the theoretical study and practice