McKinsey关于IRAQ重建机会的咨询报告.pptVIP

OVERVIEW OF THE IRAQ OPPORTUNITY;AGENDA;AGENDA;Total area: 437,000 m2 Limited arable land Arable land: 11% Permanent crops: 1% Desert: 88% Largest governates Baghdad (8.0m) Nineveh (2.1m) Basra (2.0m) Varying climate (Baghdad) Summer temp: 35-50o Winter temp: 5-15o Rainfall: 155mm/year; Source: World outlook, EIU country risk report Iraq;Source: CIA world fact book;Adult literacy at 54% (vs. 75% in Iran);Source: Country Watch;Source: BP Statistical review, 2002; * Purchasing power parity method, current prices Source: CIA World fact book; Country Watch; EIU country risk report on Iraq 2003; * Purchasing power parity method, current prices Source: CIA World Factbook; Country Watch;Source: Global Insight WMM 2.Q. 2003;Source: Global Insight WMM 2.Q. 2003; * Based on a GDP of USD30 billion and a population of 24 million Source: EIU country profile Iraq; Source: Economist intelligence unit 2002; OANDA.COM;; * Estimates range from $103.4 –$129.4bn Source:Reuters; Institute for international Economics ;Source: EIU Country profile Iraq 2002;AGENDA;Source: McKinsey;*) Population in 2003= 24 million, 2008=29 million, 2013=33 million Source: McKinsey;COMPARISON OF IRAQ WITH SAUDI ARABIA;AGENDA; * Assuming a capital productivity of 0.2 Source: McKinsey analysis; Source: Global Insight; McKinsey analysis;By 2010 Iraq can generate annual oil revenues of about USD 44 billion (assuming 80% export and a price of USD 20 per barrel);Source: McKinsey;Source: McKinsey, United States Department of Defense, USAID Web site;Source: McKinsey;Source: Press clippings;Source: Press clippings;THANK YOU