中国出口贸易中隐含碳排放的影响因素分析的中期报告.docxVIP

中国出口贸易中隐含碳排放的影响因素分析的中期报告 【摘要】基于 C. Peters 等人提出的 MRIO 框架和 IPCC 的碳排放核算方法，系统分析了影响中国出口贸易隐含碳排放的主要因素。研究发现，中国出口贸易隐含碳排放具有明显的地区差异，主要受到产品类型、出口国家和地区、产业链分布等因素的影响。具体而言，能源密集型和中低技术含量产品的出口在中国出口贸易中占据了相当大的比重，这些产品的制造过程中需大量消耗化石能源，使其隐含碳排放相对较高。同时，中国主要出口国家和地区的碳排放强度差异较大，这也在一定程度上影响了中国出口贸易的隐含碳排放水平。此外，多数制造业企业的产业链集中在东部沿海和珠三角等地区，这也导致了这些地区的出口贸易隐含碳排放强度较高。因此，在深入挖掘各类因素的影响机制的基础上，可为制定减缓中国出口贸易隐含碳排放的政策提供科学依据。 【关键词】出口贸易；隐含碳排放；MRIO 框架；碳排放核算方法 【Abstract】Based on the MRIO framework proposed by C. Peters et al. and the carbon emission accounting method of IPCC, this study systematically analyzes the main factors affecting the hidden carbon emissions in Chinas export trade. The study found that the hidden carbon emissions of Chinas export trade have significant regional differences, which are mainly affected by product type, export destination countries and regions, and the distribution of industrial chains. Specifically, energy-intensive and medium and low-tech products occupy a considerable proportion in Chinas export trade, and the production of these products requires a large amount of fossil energy consumption, which makes their hidden carbon emissions relatively high. At the same time, the carbon emission intensity of Chinas main export destination countries and regions varies greatly, which also affects the hidden carbon emission level of Chinas export trade to some extent. In addition, the industrial chains of most manufacturing companies are concentrated in eastern coastal areas such as the Pearl River Delta, which also leads to a higher hidden carbon emission intensity in these regions export trade. Therefore, based on the in-depth study of the impact mechanism of various factors, this study can provide scientific basis for formulating policies to reduce Chinas export trades hidden carbon emissions. 【Keywords】Export trade; Hidden carbon emissions; MRIO framework; Carbon emission accounting method