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2025年全球人口将达到81亿
TheUnitedNationsforecastThursdaythattheworldspopulationwillincreasefrom7.2billiontodayto8.1billionin2025,withmostgrowthindevelopingcountriesandmorethanhalfinAfrica.By2050,itwillreach9.6billion.
联合国6月13日最新报告预计，世界人口到2025年将从72亿增长至81亿，到2050年世界人口将达96亿。
IndiaspopulationisexpectedtosurpassChinasaround2028whenbothcountrieswillhavepopulationsofaround1.45billion,accordingtothereportonWorldPopulationProspects.WhileIndiaspopulationisforecasttogrowtoaround1.6billionandthenslowlydeclineto1.5billionin2100,Chinasisexpectedtostartdecreasingafter2030,possiblyfallingto1.1billionin2100,itsaid.
Thereportfoundglobalfertilityratesarefallingrapidly,thoughnotnearlyfastenoughtoavoidasignificantpopulationjumpoverthenextdecades.Infact,theU.N.reviseditspopulationprojectionupwardsinceitslastreporttwoyearsago,mostlyduetohigherfertilityprojectionsinthecountrieswiththemostchildrenperwomen.Thepreviousprojectionhadtheglobalpopulationreaching9.3billionpeoplein2050.
JohnWilmoth,directorofthePopulationDivisionintheU.N.sDepartmentofEconomicandSocialAffairs,saidtheprojectedpopulationincreasewillposechallengesbutisnotnecessarilycauseforalarm.Rather,hesaid,theworryisforcountriesonoppositesidesoftwoextremes:Countries,mostlypoorones,whosepopulationsaregrowingtooquickly,andwealthieroneswherethepopulationsisaginganddecreasing.
Theworldhashadagreatexperienceofdealingwithrapidpopulationgrowth,Wilmothsaidatanewsconference.Worldpopulationdoubledbetween1960and2019,roughly.Worldfoodsupplymorethandoubledoverthattimeperiod.
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Theproblemismoreoneofextremes,headded.Themainstoryistoavoidtheextremeofeitherrapidgrowthduetohighfertilityorrapidpopulationagingandpotentialdeclineduetoverylowfertility.
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