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Team#apmcm2303763
TeamNumber:apmcm2303763
ProblemChosen:C
2023APMCMsummarysheet
Thispaperaddressesmultipleissuespertainingtothedevelopmentandimpactof
newenergyvehiclesinChina.
Inthefirstproblem,patentnumbers,subsidies,percapitadisposableincome,and
chargingstationquantitiesfrom2010to2022arecollectedandusedasinfluencing
factors.Thesalesvolumeofnewenergyvehiclesisthedependentvariable.Amultiple
regressionequationisestablished,withregressioncoefficientsindicatingtheimportance
ofeachfactor.Theorderofimportanceisdeterminedassubsidies,patents,percapita
income,andchargingstationgrowthrate.
Inthesecondproblem,sevenindicatorsrepresentingtheelectricvehicleindus-
try’sdevelopment,includingmarketpenetrationrate,numberofchargingstations,and
productionvolume,areidentified.TimeseriesanalysisusingARIMAmodelsiscon-
ductedonmarketpenetrationrateandsalesvolume,identifiedaspivotaldevelopment
indicators.
Thethirdprobleminvolvesdatacollectiononnewenergyandtraditionalvehicles,
employingtheleastsquaresmethodforanalysis.Apopulationcompetitionmodelpre-
dictsfuturetrendsintheownershipandsalesofnewenergyandtraditionalvehicles,
validatedagainstoriginaldata.
Forthefourthproblem,theexportvolumeofnewenergyvehiclesisselectedas
thepolicy-influencedindicator.Historicalrestrictionsfrommajormarketcountrieson
China’snewenergydevelopmentareinvestigatedusingatimeseriesapproach.ADID
modelisemployedtoascertainthestrongnegativecorrelationbetweenforeignpolicy
implementationsandChina’snewenergyvehicleexports.
Lastly,thefifthproblementailsestablishingapolynomialmodelbasedonurban
carstatisticstoderivedataforacityof
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