变革性+AI+的经济情景+Economic+Scenarios+for+Transformative+AI.pptx

变革性+AI+的经济情景+Economic+Scenarios+for+Transformative+AI.pptx

AntonKorinek,CharlesI.Jones,SzymonSacher,TessCotter,andPeterMcCrory

TheAnthropicInstitute

WorkingPaperNo.2026-02

September2026

Abstract

ThispaperpresentsaframeworkforassessingtheeconomicconsequencesofAIbetween2026and2030.Inthemodel,AIautomatesagrowingshare

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