浙江省机电产品进出口与经济增长关系的实证分析毕业论文.docVIP

（二〇一一届） 毕业论文 题 目：浙江省机电产品进出口与经济增长关系的实证分析 姓　 名：　　　　　 　 　　　　　　　　 专　 业：　　　　 国际经济与贸易　　　　　 班　 级：　　　　　　 　　　　 　　　 学 号： 指导教师：　　　　 　 　　　　　 　　 导师学科：　　　　　 　　 　 导师职称：　　　　　　 　　　　　 　 　 摘 要 近年来浙江的机电产品出口增长势头良好，一直保持较快的增长速度，同时出口的机电产品技术含量不断提升，成套设备、高附加值的机电产品出口数量明显增加，成绩斐然。 本文根据192009年省的出口、进口和国民生产总值的数据，综合运用平稳性检验、协整检验、VAR模型和因果关系检验等计量方法，对省进出口贸易与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析。的结果，就如何发挥省对经济增长的拉动作用提出建议。关键词： ABSTRACT The recent growth in exports of electromechanical products in Zhejiang good momentum has been to maintain a rapid growth rate, while exports of machinery and electronic products continue to enhance the technical content, complete sets of equipment, high value-added exports of electromechanical products increased significantly, success. Based on the mechanical and electrical products in Zhejiang Province in 1989-2009 the export, import and GDP data, the integrated use of stationary test, cointegration test, VAR model and Granger causality test and other measurement methods, Zhejiang Foreign Trade and Economic the relationship between the growth of empirical analysis. Import and export of electromechanical products in Zhejiang Province between economic growth and long-term stable equilibrium relationship between imports and exports and economic growth is one-way Granger causality. And for the export of electromechanical products in Zhejiang Province during the existing export structure is irrational, and low technological content and added value of the results of the problem, Zhejiang Province, on how to play the role of economic growth proposals. Key Words: Mechanical and electrical products, Import and export, Economic growth, Zhejiang Province 目 录摘要 ………………………………………………………………………………………Ⅰ Abstract …………………………………………………………………………………Ⅱ 引 言 无论是出口贸易还是进口贸易，它们对一国的经济增长都有一定的促进作用。进出口贸易使一国更趋于按比较优势原则配置资源，提高生产的专业