基于专家系统的煤与瓦斯突出区域预测研究.pdf

35 9 2004 9 1 2 1 张小东 , 张子戌, 秦 勇 ( 1. 中国矿业大学 资源学院, 江苏 徐州22 1008; 2. 焦作工学院, 河南 焦作454000) : 根据专家系统 煤 瓦斯突出的特点, 分析了专家系统在煤 瓦斯突出区域预测中的 适用性, 结合平顶山十二矿实际情况, 确定了研究区的突出临界值, 编制了煤 瓦斯突出区域预 测专家系统, 并对研究区进行了合理的瓦斯地质区划 : 专家系统; 煤 瓦斯突出; 临界值; 预测 + : TD713 . 2 :A : 1003- 496X( 2004) 09- 0001- 03 Study on the Region Prediction of Coalgas Outburst Basedon Expert System 1 2 1 ZHANG Xiao- don , ZHA NG Z i- xu , QIN Yon ( 1. Resource College, China University of Mining and Technology, X uz hou 22 1008, China; 2. J iaoz uo I nstitute of Technology, Jiaoz uo 454000, China) Abstract:Because the faultiness of the theory of forecastin coal- as- outburst and the complicated relation of factors, it is hard for t he classical mathematics to establish accurate model. The paper compared Expert System with coal- and- as outburst in characteris- tic and analysed the applicability of Expert System in the re ion predict ion of coal- and- as outburst, Accordin to the actual condi- tion in the 12t h Coal Mine of Pin din shan minin area, the authors marked off the critical values of outbursts index es and set up the Expert- system of outburst s re ion prediction. By the pro ram, the authors classified t he probable outburst areas in t he mine. The re- sarch made a profitable attempt to apply Expert System in coal- and- as outburst. Key ord:the expert system; coal as outburst; cretical value; forecast , , : , ( 1) , , , , , , , , , , ; , ( 2) , ,