二项式罗吉特模式应用於土层液化评估之的研究.pdfVIP

二項式羅吉特模式應用於土層液化評估之研究 1 2 3 邱彥智 陳怡睿 謝舜傑 摘 要 台灣地處於太平洋地震帶西側中部，每年發生地震頻繁。伴隨地震引起之土 層液化所產生的地表沈陷、變形，對於房屋結構、運輸系統、及地下管線等，都 造成極大的損害。因此為了降低液化災害所帶來的損失，在進行計畫工程前就有 必要對現地工址進行土層液化潛勢的評估，以防患於未然。 綜觀前人推導土壤液化危害度之評估方法，大都運用液化後之現地資訊，而 未能完整地考量液化前之土層特性影響因素，將容易造成推估上之誤差。因此， 本文在土層液化危害機率評估方面，即是以現地收集之 921 大地震液化及未液化 之資料及案例來探討，運用二項式羅吉特模式(Binary Logit Model) ，發展出一個簡 捷、有效的土層液化評估模式，將可較完整地考量液化前之土層特性影響因素。 關鍵字：土層液化、羅吉特模式 1長榮大學土地管理與開發學系研究生 E-Mail: amos1110@ms10.hinet.net 聯絡住址：台南縣歸仁鄉長榮路一段396 號 2長榮大學土地管理與開發學系副教授 E-Mail: yrchen@mail.cju.edu.tw 3長榮大學土地管理與開發學系助理教授 E-Mail: sch@mail.cju.edu.tw 1 Evaluation of Soil Liquefaction by Binary Logit Model 1 2 3 Yen-Chih Chiu , Yie-Ruey Chen and Shun-Chieh Hsieh ABSTRACT Due to the liquefaction of soils, there were many ground failures with the occurrence of earthquake. Lots of damages such as landslide, ground deformation, and sand boiling were observed during the Chi-Chi earthquake of Taiwan in 1999 and numerous earthquakes in the past. Concerning the engineering practice for the land development, the establishment of appropriate evaluation method to estimate the liquefaction of soils could be an important task. Most evaluation methods of soil liquefaction employed field data after liquefaction. Therefore, soil characteristics before liquefaction were not considered. This paper develops a simple and effective method to assess the liquefaction probability by using a binary logit model. The influence of soil characteristics before li