中国城乡居民消费乘数效应的比较研究_王艳.pdfVIP

22 3 　　　　　 Vol.22 No.3 2007 6 　　　　　　　　　　　JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS ENGINEERING　　　　　　　　　　　　　　 Jun.2007 ① 1 2 王　艳, 范　金 (1., 210096; 2., 210004) :基于社会核算矩阵(SAM)乘数理论和中国细化社会核算矩阵, 本文对中国城乡居民消费乘数效应进行 了 较研究.分别测算了按不同收入分组的中国城乡居民关于七类商品的账户乘数效应和固定价格乘数效 应.并对账户乘数效应和固定价格乘数效应进行了 较研究.分析了中国城乡居民的消费潜力, 并揭示了其 消费需求结构特征和不同收入水平的居民在消费潜力上的差异. :;;; :F036.3　　　:A　　　:1000-5781(2007)03-0239-09 Comparing resarch of multipliers between urban and rural residents of China 1 2 WANG Yan , FAN Jin (1.School of Management and Economics, Southeast Uni ersity, Nanjing, 210096 China; 2.Research Center of Jiangsu Applied Economics, Jiangsu Administration Institute, Nanjing 210004, China) Abstract:Based on social accounting matrix (SAM )multiplier theory and the micro-SAM for Chinese residents, this paper compares consumption multipliers between Chinese urban and rural residents. Through measuring and comparing their accounting matrix multiplier and fixed price multiplier by income groups on se en kinds of commodities, this paper has studied their consumption potentials and discloses their consumption demand structure and the consumption potential differences among them by income groups. Key words:SAM (social accouting matrix)multiplier;consumption;Chinese urban and rural residents; comparing research 0　　 ,, . 16.6%,2004 ;2005 2 365 ,22.0%;34.4%, , .2005 2004 ;19.9%, 67 177 , ,2004 32.90%; 12.9 %, , 22.1%,2004 28.42%; 12%,2004 . 13.