不确定性下的垄断势力测度问题_陈甬军.pdfVIP

　　　　　　　　　　　　　山/西/财/经/大/学/学/报　　　　　　　　　　　　　 2008 3 Journal of ShanXi Finance and Economics University Mar., 2008 30 3 Vol.30 No.3 不确定性下的垄断势力测度问题 陈甬军,胡德宝 (中国人民大学 商学院, 北京100872) [　] 对垄断问题的分析以及对垄断势力的测度是产业组织理论 一个非常关心的问题, 以经济分析为基础, 测度垄断 造成的福利损失对反垄断政策的制定与实施有很重要的意义。 传统的方法主要关注确定条件下垄断势力的测度问题, 然而 事实上, 现实世界充满不确定性, 决策者的选择行为存在风险, 因此, 对不确定性条件下的垄断势力进行测度成为一个需要深 入研究的问题。 [] 垄断势力;　不确定性;　租值耗散 [ ] F062.9;F22　　　　[] A　　　　　　[] 1007-9556(2008)03-0050-06 Study on Measurement of Monopoly Power under Uncertainty CHEN Yong-jun, HU De-bao (School of usiness, Renmin University of China, eijing 100872, China) Abstract:The measurement of welfare losscausedby monopoly is an important issue whichis concernedin industrial organization, but the traditional analysiswere confined in static certain condition.However, monopolists face a uncertain external environment, so it is essential to measure the welfare loss under uncertainty.After reviews of existing methods and making use of rent-seeking model of monopolists, we point out that the uncertainty of whether monopolists can obtain monopoly status and maintain the rent flow cause the original model not to hold true any more.Therefore, the authors make the status of the rise-averse monopolists dynamic to extend the primary model. ased on this and combined with the CAPM model, the authors can construct a new model to have the parameter estimation, then measure the monopoly power caused by monopolists under uncertainty in closed economy and open economy respectively. Key Words:monopoly power;uncertainty;rent dissipation ① 　　 、 , (Lerner, , 1934