物质平衡法对定容煤层气藏生产动态的预测.pdfVIP

第39 卷 第3 期 煤田地质与勘探 Vol. 39 No.3 2011 年6 月 COAL GEOLOGY EXPLORATION Jun. 2011 文章编号: 1001-1986(2011)03-0029-04 物质平衡法对定容煤层气藏生产动态的预测 1 2 3 4 胡小虎 ，郑世毅 ，李保振 ，翟雨阳 (1. 中石化石油勘探开发研究院，北京 100083; 2. Heriot-Watt 大学, 爱丁堡 EH144AS; 3. 中海油研究总院, 北京 100027; 4. 中联煤层气国家工程研究中心有限责任公司, 北京 100055) : 由于煤层气藏特殊的赋存及渗流方式，使其有别于常规气藏，而煤层气藏开采初期的多相 渗流问题使其产能预测更为复杂。在定容煤层气藏物质平衡法基础上，利用历史生产数据完成线 性拟合，并用拟合得到的参数对未来生产动态进行预测。通过将模型预测的平均地层压力、平均 含水饱和度及产气、产水量随时间变化与 CMG 数值模拟结果进行对比分析，结果显示，本文方 法预测结果较为准确可靠，尤其是在煤层气峰值产量之后。 ：煤层气；生产动态；物质平衡法；历史拟合；预测 ：TE332; P618.11 ：A DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-1986.2011.03.006 Application of material balance method to deliverability prediction of closed coal-bed methane reservoir 1 2 3 4 HU Xiaohu , ZHENG Shiyi , LI Baozhen , ZHAI Yuyang (1. ExplorationProduction Research Institute, SINOPEC, 100083 Beijing, China; 2. Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh EH 144AS , England ; 3. CNOOC Research Institute, Beijing 100027, China; 4. Petrochina Coalbed Methane Company Limited, Beijing 100055, China) Abstract: The study of the production dynamics for coal-bed methane reservoir is very valuable for it differs from normal gas reservoir in its specific manner of storage and the mechanics of flow through porous media, and multi- phase flow in the earlier stage of production makes it more complicated. In this paper, the history production data were firstly analyzed by history matching, and the future production dynamics were predicted based on these matched parameters. By comparisons of the predi