基于三角模糊数的智能电网投资效益分析.pdf

第 38卷 第 5期 Vo.l 38 No. 5 2010年 5月 M ay 2010 基于三角模糊数的智能电网投资效益分析 , , , ( , 102206) : ,,, , , : ;; ; : ( : ( 1957), ,, , : TM727; F407 : A : 2010 Analysis of InvestmentBenefit of SmartElectricGrid Based on TriangularFuzzy Numbers ZENG M ing, YAN Fan, TIAN K uo, DONG J un ( SchoolofEcono y andM anage ent, North China ElectricPowerUniv. , Beijing 102206, China) Abstract: S art electric grid invest entwith larger invest ent and broader technical coverage has to face any po tential risk of arket because of volatilities of energy price, increasingly grow th of arket participants and co plex co petitive strategy. Reasonable invest ent to s art grid is one of the i portant ethods to prevent potential risks. Multilevel co prehensive evaluation index syste of s art electric grid invest ent benefitwas expounded fro social and econo ic benefits. Based on theprinciple of co bining the qualitative and quantitative analysis, a reasonable e valuation of the benefits of the invest ents is co pleted by introducing triangular fuzzy nu ber and the adjust ent factor to the fuzzy co prehensive evaluation ethod. Taking s art electric grid invest ents in oneprovince as an ex a ple, the efficiency and rationality of the odelwas verified. Key words: s art electric grid; invest ent benefit; triangular fuzzy nu ber; adjust ent factor , , [ 13] , , , , , , , ,,