手机使用率居高不下,为何脑癌发病率却在下降？.doc

 手机使用率居高不下，为何脑癌发病率却在下降？ 虽然从1990年至今，手机辐射量增加了500倍，但脑癌发病率却有所下降。 上世纪80年代，随着手机在美国投入使用，低频率辐射开始影响人类大脑，脑癌发病率随之缓慢上升。在80年代初，每年每百万美国人中有63人被医生诊断为脑癌，到1990年，这一数字上升到70人/百万人。而此时手机使用才刚刚开始普及。 手机和脑癌发病率之间的相关性似乎肯定会呈上升趋势，然而奇怪的是，从1991年开始，脑癌发病率突然调头开始缓慢下降。2008年，即美国国家癌症研究院（National Cancer Institute）有记录的最后一年，每百万美国人中只有65人患有脑癌。 在这20年里，随着手机用户数的疯狂增长，美国人大脑所受到的手机辐射量增加了500倍。如今的美国手机用户数比1990年时增加了大约60倍，平均每位用户每天使用手机的时间也达到20分钟，而在通讯费用昂贵的早期，这一数字还仅为一到两分钟。随着用户相互之间的通话时间越来越长，通话总时长也在迅速水涨船高。 以下图表综合了来自美国国家癌症研究院和手机行业主要行业协会的数据，看起来颇为有趣。 During the 1980s, just as Americans began pumping low-frequency radiation through their skulls with cell phones, brain cancer rates in the U.S. slowly increased. At the beginning of the decade, doctors delivered the devastating diagnosis of brain cancer to 63 out of every 1 million Americans every year; by 1990 that number had risen to 70 per million. And thats when cell phone usage really took off. Yet while the link between phones and tumors may have seemed certain to grow, a strange thing happened. Beginning in 1991 the rate of brain cancer incidence reversed course and began to slowly fall. By 2008, the last year for which the National Cancer Institute has data, 65 out of every 1 million Americans got a brain cancer diagnosis annually. During those same two decades, the radiation beamed by phones into American brains increased about 500-fold, in proportion to the wild growth in cell phone use. There are roughly 60 times more cell phones in the U.S. than there were in 1990, and each one is used for an average of about 20 minutes per day, up from just a minute or two in the industrys expensive early days. The combined effect of more customers each talking more has been a stunning increase in total talk time. Combining data from the National Cancer Institute and the cellular industrys main trade group yields this intriguing graph: 布朗大学（Brown University）的传染病科教授戴维?萨维茨曾进行过这类研究，他警告说，虽然从图中能很清晰地看到手机辐射量与脑癌发病率之间没有关系，但并不能完全证明手机是安全的。最令人担忧的是，使用手机和最终罹患脑癌之间可能