湘江流域区域洪水频率分析计算.pdfVIP

Journal of Water Resources Research 水资源研究, 2013, 2, 20-26 doi:10.12677/jwrr.2013.21004 Published Online February 2013 (/journal/jwrr.html) Regional Flood Frequency Analysis in the Xiangjiang * Basin 1 1 2 3 Hua Chen , Jiawei He , Fei Li , Jinxing Wang 1State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 2CAMCE WHU Design Research Co., Ltd, Wuhan 3Hydrological Forecast Center, Ministry of Water Resources, Beijing Email: chua@ Received: Nov. 21st th th , 2012; revised: Dec. 6 , 2012; accepted: Dec. 25 , 2012 Abstract: Regional frequency analysis (RFA) method is one of the main tools for estimating design floods in ungauged basins. The applicability of RFA was analysed in the Xiangjiang Basin by using annual maximum flood series of five hydrological stations from 1959 to 2005, including Xiangtan, Hengyang, Xiangxiang, Ganxi and Daxitan hydrological stations. The design flood values of Hengyang station were estimated by using RFA and hydrologic analogy method. The results were compared and discussed, which showed that RFA had relatively better precision than others in the estimation of design flood and is more suitable for ungaged basins. Keywords: Regional Frequency Analysis; Ungaged Basins; Fuzzy Analogy; L-Moments 湘江流域区域洪水频率分析计算* 1 1 2 3 陈 华 ，何加伟 ，栗 飞 ，王金星