未来中国输电网发展模式的分析与展望.pdf

第37 卷 第7 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 37 No. 7 2013 年7 月 Power System Technology Jul. 2013 文章编号：1000-3673 （2013 ）07-1929-07 中图分类号：TM 721 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470·4051 未来中国输电网发展模式的分析与展望 孙玉娇，周勤勇，申洪 （中国电力科学研究院，北京市 海淀区 100192 ） Analysis and Prospect on Development Patterns of China’s Power Transmission Network in Future SUN Yujiao, ZHOU Qinyong, SHEN Hong (China Electric Power Research Institute, Haidian District, Beijing 100192, China) ABSTRACT: The development ideas of power grid in Europe 2050 年 and America are presented and the inspirations that could be 0 引言 leant from these development ideas for China’s power grid development in future are pointed out. Based on the predicted 化石能源的日渐枯竭，以及使用化石能源带来 results of power sources and load in China in future, the 的环境影响，使人类不得不寻求新的途径，解决能 possible power stream patterns in 2020, 2030 and 2050 are 源危机和环境污染问题。 analyzed, and the development patterns of China’s power transmission networks in 2020 and 2030 are predicted and the 从欧美国家来看，美国石油资源一直十分依赖 development pattern of China’s power transmission networks 进口[1]，国际油价的波动使美国在能源战略上发生 in 2050 is prospected. On this basis, it is pointed out that the 了重大转变[2-5]，未来将更加重视国内资源的开发， nationwide interconnection of power grids in China is an 减少对国外资源的过分依赖，并通过提高能源利用 inexorable trend. In 2020 and 2030, China’s power grids will be mainly developed in the pattern of