Human cognitive performance in antisubmarine warfare situation assessment and data fusion英文资料.pdfVIP

Human Cognitive Performance in Antisubmarine Warfare: Situation Assessment and Data Fusion Ahofraef-A cognitive simulation model of the antisubmarine warfare tive limitations and biases; and 4) demonstrating a range commander (ASWC) in a Naval Battle Group was developed, with particu- of behaviors and individual differences that are consistent lar emphasis on modeling his data fusion activities during situation assess- with those found by experiment. ment. These activities involve the estimation of enemy submarine tracks (position and velocity) and their likelihoods in a passive sonar convergence Thus the essence of this approach is the coupling of zone environment. The simulation is normative-descriptive in nature. A optimal models of procedural rational; ty that prescribe normative (optimal) mathematical model was first developed based upon how decisions should be made, with cognitive constraints modern estimation and control theory. Experimental results with 20 expe- or limitations that are “psychologically interpretable and rienced naval subjects on four scenarios involving twelve contacts and consistent with current psychological knowledge” [l]. This three submarines each, indicated that the optimal or normative model alwapi demonstrated superior performance to that of the human subjects. coupling results in a normative-description modeling ap- Known cognitive limitations and biases, drawn from the cognitive and proach that can best be construed as constrained optimiza- behavioral sciences and/or directly observed in human subject perfor- tion. Human decisions “may be interpreted as optimal mance, we