StudyonAnti_shipMissi_省略_SaturationAttac.pdfVIP

JOURNAL OF CH INA ORDNANCE 　 Study on An tish ip M issile Sa tura tion A ttack M odel ( ) ( ) ( ) WAN G Guanghu i 王光辉 , SUN Xuefeng 孙学锋 , YAN J iangang 严建钢 , ( ) X IE Yup eng 谢宇鹏 (N aval A eronau tic s and A stronau tic s Un iversity, Yan tai 26400 1 Shandong, Ch ina) A b stract: B a sed on the analysis for the in tercep tion p rocess of sh ip toair m issile system to the antish ip m issile stream , the an tagon ism of sh ip toair m issile and an tish ip m issile stream wa s modeled by Mon te Carlo m ethod. Th is model con tai n ing the p robab ility of acqu iring an tish ip m issile, threat e stim ation, firepower distribu tion, intercep tion, effectiveness evaluation and firepower turn ing, can dynam ically sim u late the an tagon ism p rocess of antish ip m issile attack stream and antiair m issile weapon system. The an tish ip m issiles satu ration attack stream for different sh ip toair m issile system s can be calcu lated quantitatively. The sim u lated resu lts reveal the relation s among the an tish ip m issile satu ration attack and the attack inten sity of an tish ip m issile, intercep tion mode and the m ain p aram eters of an tiair m issile weapon system. It p ro vides a theoretical basis for the effective op eration of an tish ip m issile. Key W ords: op erational re search; system engineering; an tish ip m issile; sh ip toair m issile; saturation attack; an tago n ism model;