《Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa 》.pdf

T h e n e w e ngl a nd j o u r na l o f m e dic i n e original article Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa — The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections WHO Ebola Response Team* A bs tr ac t Background On March 23, 2014, the World Health Organization (WHO) was notified of an out- Address reprint requests to Dr. Christl break of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Guinea. On August 8, the WHO declared the Donnelly at c.donnelly@imperial.ac.uk epidemic to be a “public health emergency of international concern.” or Dr. Christopher Dye at dyec@. *The authors (members of the World Methods Health Organization [WHO] Ebola Re- By September 14, 2014, a total of 4507 probable and confirmed cases, including sponse team who contributed to this ar- ticle) are listed in the Appendix. 2296 deaths from EVD (Zaire species) had been reported from five countries in West Africa — Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, Senegal, and Sierra Leone. We analyzed a This article was published on September detailed subset of data on 3343 confirmed and 667 probable Ebola cases collected 23, 2014, at NEJM.org. in Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone as of September 14. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1411100