负荷不确定性对三联供系统配置和经济性的影响（负荷不确定性的影响！！！）.pdfVIP

暖通空调HVAC 2009 年第39 卷第7 期 13 上海交通大学 李朝振 石玉美 黄兴华 利用围绕代表日负荷的概率分布来描述所有负荷的不确定性, 以年总费用期望值 为 标函数,建立了三联供系统的优化模型根据一实例, 系统地研究了负荷不确定性对三联 供系统配置和经济性的影响结果表明, 负荷不确定性对三联供系统核心设备的配置影响不 大, 对辅助设备影响较大; 随不确定性的增大, 三联供系统初投资和运行费用都有所增加, 系统 经济优势有所下降 负荷不确定性 三联供 优化配置 经济性 Effect of uncerta inty of energy demand on opt imal facili ty scheme and economical eff iciency of combi ned cooli ng heati ng and power systems By Li Chaozhen , Shi Yumei and Huang Xinghua Abstract Uses probability distribution based on representative energy demands to describe the uncertain demands. stablishes an optimization model for the combined cooling heating and pow er(CCHP) system with expected value of annual cost as objective function. With a hotel example, studiesthe influence of uncertain demands on facility scheme and economical eff iciency of CCHP system. The result show s that the uncertainty of demands aff ect the core f acilities slightly w hile affect the assistant f acilities largely, and with increase of uncertainty of energy demands, the initial investment and operation cost increase and the economic advantages of CCHP system compared with conventional system decrease to some extent. Keywords uncertainty of energy demand, combined cooling heating and pow er, optimal f acility scheme, economical eff iciency Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China * 0 , , , HVAC , , , [ 1-2] ,