基于SVAR模型分析财政支农结构对农民收入的动态影响.pdfVIP

农 民 收 入 基于 SV A R 模型分析财政支农结构对农民 收入的动态影响 徐敏丽1 ,2 ( 1. 江南大学 商学院 , 江苏 无锡 　2 14 122 ;2 . 上海财经大学 ,上海 　200433) [摘要]从财政支农结构看 ,农业科技三项 ,支农支出与农民纯收入之间存在明显正方向的同期效应与长期稳定效应 ;而农业基本 建设支出与农民纯收入之间具有负方向的同期效应与长期效应 。财政支农在结构上不够合理 ,表现为农业科技三项费用 占财政 支农支出比重很低 ,而其他支出的比重相对较高 ,从而影响财政支农收入效应 。 [ 关键词]财政支农结构 ; SVA R 模型 ;脉冲响应 [ 中图分类号] F323 . 8 　　　[文献标识码]A 　　　[文章编号](2008) Financial Support f or Agriculture on the Income of the Farmers XU Minli1 ,2 ( 1. J i ang n an Uni v ers i ty B us i ness S chool , W ux i 　2 14 122 , Chi n a; ) 2 . S h ang h ai Uni ve rs i ty of F i nance Econom ics , S h ang h ai 　200433 , Chi na Abstract :From t he decompo sition st ruct ure of financial support for agricult ure , t here are po sitive direction of t he currently and longt erm st able relation ship s between t he ThreeA gricult uralScienceTechnolo gy and t he net income of farmer s , and bet ween t he exp endit ure supporting agricult ure and t he net income of farmer s. But it has a negative direction of currently and longt erm st able relation ship between t he exp endit ure of t he basic agricult ure con st ruction and t he net income of farmer s. Thereby , t he unreasona ble st ruct ure of financial support for agricult ure , t hat i s t he exp endit ure of ThreeA gricult uralScienceTechnology accounting for a very small portion of financial exp endit ure for agricult ure support , where a s ot her exp endit ures accounting for relatively lar ger portion , i s an import ant reason for income effect of financial s