基于自适应无迹卡尔曼滤波的电力系统动态状态估计.pdfVIP

38 卷 1 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 38 No. 1 20 14 年1 月 Power System Technology Jan. 2014 文章编号：1000-3673 （2014 ）01-0188-05 中图分类号：TM 721 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470 4051 基于自适应无迹卡尔曼滤波的 电力系统动态状态估计 赵洪山，田甜 （华北电力大学电气与电子工程学院，河北省 保定市 071003 ） Dynamic State Estimation for Power System Based on An Adaptive Unscented Kalman Filter ZHAO Hongshan,TIAN Tian (School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, Hebei Province, China) ABSTRACT: The estimation results of unscented Kalman 冗余度来提高数据精度，排除随机干扰所引起的错 filter (UKF), a nonlinear filtering method, are usually affected 误信息，估计或预报系统的运行状态。电力系统状 by the unknown system noise because the assumption of 态估计分为静态和动态2 种，静态状态估计目前应 system noise variance is constant. This paper proposed an 用较为成熟，以最小二乘法等为主，静态状态估计 improved adaptive unscented Kalman filter (AUKF) algorithm 的局限性是没有考虑系统的动态；动态状态估计通 used fading memory exponential weighted Sage-Husa filter in order to reduce the effect of unknown system noise in the 过模型和量测量进行一次运算，得到状态估计值和 dynamic state estimate process. The AUKF method can 预报值；由于动态状态估计能够对系统下一时刻的 estimate the mean and variance of the system noise. It is 状态量进行预测，且不需迭代，与静态状态估计相 verified the effectiveness of the AUKF method for an IEEE 57 比更有优势。电力系统动态状态估计主要以扩展卡 and 118 buses test systems in the condition of typical daily load, [1] 尔曼滤波方法(extend Kalman filter，EKF)为主 ， and the simulating results showed that the AUKF delivered better estimation accuracy in the sa