大用户购电组合决策模型及对比分析.pdfVIP

第35 卷 第3 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 35 No. 3 2011 年3 月 Power System Technology Mar. 2011 文章编号：1000-3673 （2011 ）03-0188-07 中图分类号：F 407.2 文献标志码：A 学科代码：790·625 大用户购电组合决策模型及对比分析 郑雅楠，周明，李庚银 （电力系统保护与动态安全监控教育部重点实验室(华北电力大学) ，北京市 昌平区 102206 ） Decision-Making Models for Large Consumer Electricity Purchasing Portfolio and Contrastive Analysis on Them ZHENG Yanan, ZHOU Ming, LI Gengyin (Key Laboratory of Power System Protection and Dynamic Security Monitoring and Control (North China Electric Power University), Ministry of Education, Changping District, Beijing 102206, China) ABSTRACT: To research the decision-making for large 0 引言 consumer electricity purchasing portfolio, in which profit and 发电侧电力市场的成功运营，促进了我国电力 risk coexist, the features and applicable conditions of mean-variance model and mean-semivariance model are 市场的深入改革。目前，我国电力市场正逐步开放 analyzed, then a mean-absolute deviation model for electricity 用电侧，允许电力大用户参与市场竞争。这种改变 purchasing portfolio is proposed and comparison and analysis 带给用户多种购电选择，用户从原来的被动接受到 on the three models are performed. For the nonlinear 有机会积极地参与到市场中，利用多种市场优化配 programming to solve electricity purchasing portfolio, it is put 置资源[1-3] 。然而，不同市场的电价受各种因素影响， forward to solve the three models by simulated annealing 会产生不同程度的波动，这给用户购电带来了风险。 algorithm and to search after global optimal solution. Taking risk elasticity, computing time and iteration times as the indices 度量这种风险并制定合理的购电组合策略成为用 to assess advantages and disadvantages of the three models, 户面临的关键问题之一[4-5] 。同时，用户的购电组合 and