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evacuation planning using the integrated system of activity.doc

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evacuation planning using the integrated system of activity

EVACUATION PLANNING USING THE INTEGRATED SYSTEM OF ACTIVITY-BASED MODELING AND DYNAMIC TRAFFIC ASSIGNMENT Dung-Ying Lin* The University of Texas at Austin, Department of Civil, Architectural & Environmental Engineering 1 University Station, C1761, Austin, TX 78712 Phone: (512) 471-4539; Fax: (512) 475-8744; E-mail: dylin@ *Corresponding Author Naveen Eluru The University of Texas at Austin, Department of Civil, Architectural & Environmental Engineering 1 University Station, C1761, Austin, TX 78712 Phone: (512) 471-4535; Fax: (512) 475-8744; Email: naveeneluru@ S. Travis Waller The University of Texas at Austin, Department of Civil, Architectural & Environmental Engineering 1 University Station, C1761, Austin, TX 78712 Phone: (512) 471-4539; Fax: (512) 475-8744; E-mail: stw@ Chandra R. Bhat The University of Texas at Austin, Department of Civil, Architectural & Environmental Engineering 1 University Station, C1761, Austin, TX 78712 Phone: (512) 471-4535; Fax: (512) 475-8744; Email: bhat@ ABSTRACT The occurrence of natural disasters in the coastal regions and numerous potential events within urban regions has drawn considerable attention among transportation stakeholders. Federal, state and local officials need to be effectively prepared to address the challenges raised by an evacuation. The focus of this research effort is to develop a tool to study the repercussions of evacuation of an entire regional transportation network recognizing the human behavior element. Neglecting these seemingly chaotic traffic flow patterns would lead to inaccurate system assessment and predictions. We study the influences of evacuees’ locations in the urban region at the moment of emergency alert. In addition, we identify the locations of all the members of the household and explicitly consider household member interactions. Further, we study the accurate times the individuals enter the network to evacuate the study region, which can vary based on where the other household members