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domestic market operations and liquidity forecasting
Domestic Market Operations
and Liquidity Forecasting
Alexandra Baker and David Jacobs*
the stance of monetary policy in Australia is set in terms of a target for the cash rate. to keep
the cash rate at the policy target, the Reserve bank sets the supply of exchange Settlement (eS)
balances at a level consistent with demand. the level of eS balances changes when entities in the
private banking system transact with the Reserve bank and its clients, particularly the Australian
Government. these changes need to be accurately forecast, so that they can be counterbalanced
by the Reserve bank’s domestic market operations.
Introduction In order to keep the cash rate at the target set by
the Board, each day the Reserve Bank adjusts the
The stance of monetary policy in Australia is
total supply of ES balances – referred to as ‘system
determined by the Reserve Bank Board and is set
cash’ – to a level consistent with the demand for
in terms of a target for the cash rate – the interest
ES balances. Individual institutions must maintain
rate on overnight, unsecured loans between
a positive ES balance at all times, and those that
financial institutions. The cash rate in turn affects
face the prospect of a negative balance (because of
the broad spectrum of interest rates in the financial
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