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current strongaccountstrong imbalances and financial integration in the
Current Account Imbalances and Financial Integration in
the Euro Area
Alan Ahearne
Bruegel, Brussels and National University of Galway, Ireland
Birgit Schmitz
University of Bonn
Jürgen von Hagen
University of Bonn, Indiana University, and CEPR
February 2009
Abstract
While the current account of euro area as a whole has remained almost balanced in the past
two decades, several member countries have sizeable deficits or surpluses. In this paper, we
interpret these imbalances as indicators of net capital flows among the euro-area countries and
show that these net flows follow differences in per-capita incomes. Our results show that the
elasticity with respect to per-capita incomes of net capital flows between euro-area countries
and the euro area has increased. This is not the case for net capital flows between non-euro
area countries and the euro area, nor for euro-area countries and the rest of the world. We
interpret this as evidence for increasing financial integration in the euro area. There is also
some evidence suggesting that the introduction of the euro has lead to some financial
diversion.
Key words: financial integration, current account imbalances, European Monetary Union
JEL classification codes: F21, F33, F34, F36
The authors thank Narcissa Balta, Kristin Langwasser, Ina Drepper and Marcel Förster for
excellent research assistance.
Correspondence:
IIW, University of Bonn
Lennéstrasse 37
d-53113 Bonn
Germany
Emails: alan.ahearne@bruegel.org, birgit.schmitz@uni-bonn.de, vonhagen@uni-bonn.de
1. Introduction
The obser
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