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evaluating mutual strongfundstrong performance - mit
Evaluating Mutual Fund Performance
S.P. Kothari Jerold B. Warner*
We thank Doug Breeden, Charles Nelson, Wayne Ferson, Bill Schwert, Cliff Smith, René Stulz,
two anonymous referees, seminar participants (Rochester, Colorado (Burridge Center Annual
Conference) and Duke) for their comments, and Andreas Gintschel, Peter Wysocki, and Tzachi
Zach for excellent research assistance. We are grateful to the Research Foundation of the
Institute of Chartered Financial Analysts and the Association for Investment Management and
Research, the Bradley Policy Research Center at the Simon School, and the John M. Olin
Foundation for financial support. S.P. Kothari acknowledges financial support from the New
Economy Value Research Lab at the MIT Sloan School of Management.
2
Abstract
We study standard mutual fund performance measures, using simulated funds whose
characteristics mimic actual funds. We find that performance measures used in previous mutual
fund research have little ability to detect economically large magnitudes (e.g., three percent per
year) of abnormal fund performance, particularly if a fund’s style characteristics differ from
those of the value-weighted market portfolio. Power can be substantially improved, however,
using event study procedures that analyze a fund’s stock trades. These procedures are feasible
using time-series datasets on mutual fund portfolio holdings.
This paper uses simulation procedures to study empirical properties of performance
measures for mutual funds (i.e., managed equity portfolios).
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