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Journal of Economic Perspectives—Volume 26, Number 2—Spring 2012—Pages 119–140
Globalization and U.S. Wages: Modifying
Classic Theory to Explain Recent Facts
Jonathan Haskel, Robert Z. Lawrence, Edward E.
Leamer, and Matthew J. Slaughter
hhee l lastast 1010 toto 1515 y yearsears h haveave seenseen dramaticdramatic changeschanges i inn globalizationglobalization andand
ttechnology juxtaposed with dramatic changes in U.S. earnings: Have theechnology j uxtaposed with dramatic changes in U.S. earnings: Have the
TTfformer been driving the latter? Back in the mid-1990s, most research foundormer been driving the latter? Back in the mid- 1990s, most research found
tthat the effect of trade on U.S. wages was relatively minor; for example, this washat the effect of trade on U.S. wages was relatively minor; for example, this was
tthehe tenortenor o off a a three-paperthree-paper s symposiumymposium o onn “Income“Income I Inequalitynequality a andnd T Trade”rade” i inn thethe
SSummer 1995 issue of this journal. But since the mid-1990s, globalization has takenummer 1995 issue of thisj ournal. But since the mid- 1990s, globalization has taken
ssome new forms: China, for example, was barely on the global economic map inome new forms: China, for example, was barely on the global economic map in
11995. The patterns of inequality and wages have taken new forms, too. Thus, earlier995. The patterns of inequality and wages have taken new forms, too. Thus, earlier
cconclusions are being reconsidered. For example, Nobel laureate Paul Krugmanonclusions are being reconsidered. For example, Nobel laureate Paul Krugman
hhad found in his earlier research on trade and wages, like most others, that thead found in his earlier research on trade and wages, like most others, that the
iimpact of trade on U.S. earnings had been small. But in Krugman (2008), he nowmpact of trade on U.S. e
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