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Irving Fisher and the Contribution of
Improved Longevity to Living Standards
By WILLIAM D. NORDHAUS*
ABSTRACT. It is not widely recognized that conventional measures of
national income and output exclude the value of improvements in
the health status of the population. The present study discusses the
theory of the measurement of national income, proposes a new
concept called “health income” that can be used to incorporate
improvements in health status, and applies the theory to data for the
United States over the 20th century. It concludes that accounting for
improvements in the health status would, over the twentieth century
in the United States, make a substantial difference to our measures
of economic welfare.
I
Introduction
AMONG IRVING FISHER’S many contributions to economics, one that is
little noted and scarcely remembered is his emphasis on the economic
importance of health. For the most part, his concern was in promot-
ing healthy lifestyles. In addition, he made an early (perhaps the ear-
liest) estimate of the impact of mortality and morbidity on national
output.
This essay considers the question of how measures of economic
welfare might change if they included measures of health status as
well as of conventional consumption. The surprising finding is that
*William D. Nordhaus is Sterling Professor of Economics at Yale University. He is a
member of the National Academy of Sciences, a Fellow of the American Academy of
Arts and Sciences, and is on the research staffs of the Cowles Foundation and of the
National Bureau of Economic Research. He serves on the Congressional Budget Office
Panel of Economic Experts and is Chair of the Advisory Committee for the Bureau of
Economic Analysis. From 1977 to 1979, he was a member of the President’s Council
of Economic
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