Traffic Fatalities and strongEconomicstrong Growth - Youth for Road Safety.pdfVIP

d e z i r t ? J3}b) o 9 h t u A POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER 3 03 5 e r u s o l c s i D c i l b u P d e z i r o h t u A e Traffic Fatalities and Economic Growth r u s o l c s i D Elizabeth Kopits c i l Cropper b Maureen u P d e z i r o h t u A e r u s o l c s i D c i l b u P d e z i r o h t u A e r u s o l c s i D c The World Bank i l b Group u Development Research P Infrastructure and Environment April 2003 UPOLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER 3035 Abstract Kopits and Cropper examine the impact of income fatalities peaks is approximately $8,600 in 1985 growth on the death rate due to traffic fatalities, as well internationial dollars. This is within the range of income as on fatalities per motor vehicle and on the at which other externalities, such as air and water motorization rate (vehicles/population) using panel data pollution, have been found to peak. from 1963-99 for 88 countries. Specifically, they Projections of future traffic fatalities suggest that the estimate fixed effects models for fatalities/population, global road death toll will grow by approximately 66 vehicles/population, and fatalities/vehicles and use these percent between 2000 and 2020. This number, however, models to p